Trade — Eliezer & Fausto

Aug 2
Too close to call
within 0.7 points a week today — a genuine coin flip
First recorded Sep 22 too close to call
The way trades are valued changed after this grade was recorded, so the number above and the number below aren’t directly comparable. Both are real — each is what the model said at the time.

The deal

Mayeday! MayeDay!! S.O.S. (Eliezer)
gave KC Concepcion
got Khalil Shakir
Zero Cucaracha (Fausto)
gave Khalil Shakir
got KC Concepcion

Why

Move Then Today
Lose Concepcion — -0.5
Missed games — -0.2

Each line is one move in the deal, in points a week, from Eliezer’s side — the other team’s number is the same size the other way. They add up to the number at the top.

Today’s number is re-scored every week as players actually play, so it moves; the one from the day of the trade was written down then and never changes. That gap is the interesting part — a deal can turn through nobody’s fault.

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