Sep 8
Too close to call
within 1.8 points a week today — a genuine coin flip
First recorded Sep 21
Alex by 2.2
The way trades are valued changed after this grade was recorded, so the
number above and the number below aren’t directly comparable. Both
are real — each is what the model said at the time.
The deal
Zero Cucaracha (Fausto)
gave
Greg DulcichDavid Montgomery
got
MarShawn LloydDalton Kincaid
OG's Still Smack💩 (Alex)
gave
MarShawn LloydDalton Kincaid
got
Greg DulcichDavid Montgomery
Why
Move
Then
Today
Swap Montgomery → Lloyd
—
-2.1
Missed games
—
+0.4
Package discount
—
-0.1
Each line is one move in the deal, in points a week, from
Fausto’s side — the other team’s number is the
same size the other way. They add up to the number at the top.
Today’s number is re-scored every week as players
actually play, so it moves; the one from the day of the trade was written down
then and never changes. That gap is the interesting part — a deal can turn
through nobody’s fault.