Sep 23
Too close to call
within 0.5 points a week today — a genuine coin flip
When it was made
too close to call
The way trades are valued changed after this grade was recorded, so the
number above and the number below aren’t directly comparable. Both
are real — each is what the model said at the time.
The deal
I Hate Luck Challenges (Toby)
gave
T.J. HockensonJacory Croskey-Merritt
got
DK Metcalf
Los Clavadores (Abdiel)
gave
DK Metcalf
got
T.J. HockensonJacory Croskey-Merritt
Why
Move
Then
Today
Swap Croskey-Merritt → Metcalf
—
-0.6
Missed games
—
-0.2
Package discount
—
+0.3
Each line is one move in the deal, in points a week, from
Toby’s side — the other team’s number is the
same size the other way. They add up to the number at the top.
Today’s number is re-scored every week as players
actually play, so it moves; the one from the day of the trade was written down
then and never changes. That gap is the interesting part — a deal can turn
through nobody’s fault.