Trade — Alex & Dario

Oct 4
Too close to call
within 1.9 points a week today — a genuine coin flip
When it was made too close to call
The way trades are valued changed after this grade was recorded, so the number above and the number below aren’t directly comparable. Both are real — each is what the model said at the time.

The deal

OG's Smack Little 🥷's (Alex)
gave Braelon AllenKeaton Mitchell
got Carnell TateMatthew Stafford
Royal Commish (Dario)
gave Carnell TateMatthew Stafford
got Braelon AllenKeaton Mitchell

Why

Move Then Today
Swap Allen → Tate — -2.2
Missed games — +0.2
Package discount — +0.1

Each line is one move in the deal, in points a week, from Alex’s side — the other team’s number is the same size the other way. They add up to the number at the top.

Today’s number is re-scored every week as players actually play, so it moves; the one from the day of the trade was written down then and never changes. That gap is the interesting part — a deal can turn through nobody’s fault.

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